William C. Black, MD
Professor of Radiology
Professor of Community and Family Medicine
Professor of The Dartmouth Institute
Community and Family Medicine
The Dartmouth Institute
Medical College of Virginia, MD 1979
U. Illinois, BS 1975
The Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice
Dartmouth Medical School
Hanover NH 03755
Office: Dartmouth Hitchcock Medical Center
Dr. Black is a practicing radiologist with expertise in the evaluation of screening and diagnostic testing. He has demonstrated how advances in diagnostic imaging distort the clinician's perception of the prevalence of disease, it's natural history, and its response to medical intervention. He has also studied the public's perception of medical risks and benefits and shown that women 40-49 years of age substantially overestimate their risks of developing and dying from breast cancer. More recently, Dr. Black developed a mathematical method for estimating rates of disease progression from its stage distribution at autopsy and age-specific mortality rates. These estimates are important for making decisions about screening and diagnostic testing and understanding their effects.
Black WC. The increasing incidence of childhood primary malignant brain tumors ? enigma or nobrainer? J Natl Cancer Inst 1998; 90:1249-1251.
Black WC, Nease RF, Welch HG. Determining transition probabilities from mortality rates and autopsy findings. Med Decis Making 1997;17:87-93.
Black WC. Anatomic extent of disease: a critical variable in reports of diagnostic accuracy. Radiology 2000;217:319-320.